Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for GENEVIEVE-20 in Mexico from 16 Aug 2020 15:00 UTC to 20 Aug 2020 21:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for GENEVIEVE-20

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GENEVIEVE-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	213 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (01 Jan 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	111 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	213 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

111 km/h Current Max.

Up to 640000 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	16 Aug 2020 15:00	194	Few people	Few people	Mexico
2	16 Aug 2020 21:00	204	Few people	Few people	Mexico
3	17 Aug 2020 03:00	222	Few people	Few people	Mexico
4	17 Aug 2020 09:00	222	Few people	Few people	Mexico
5	17 Aug 2020 15:00	222	Few people	No people	Mexico
6	17 Aug 2020 21:00	222	120 thousand	No people	Mexico
7	18 Aug 2020 03:00	222	50 thousand	No people	Mexico
8	18 Aug 2020 09:00	231	120 thousand	No people	Mexico
9	18 Aug 2020 15:00	241	Few people	No people	Mexico
10	18 Aug 2020 21:00	222	120 thousand	No people	Mexico
11	19 Aug 2020 03:00	194	280 thousand	No people	Mexico
12	19 Aug 2020 09:00	185	320 thousand	No people	Mexico
13	19 Aug 2020 15:00	185	350 thousand	No people	Mexico
14	19 Aug 2020 21:00	148	330 thousand	No people	Mexico
15	20 Aug 2020 03:00	139	620 thousand	No people	Mexico
16	20 Aug 2020 09:00	130	650 thousand	No people	Mexico
17	20 Aug 2020 15:00	120	640 thousand	No people	Mexico
18	20 Aug 2020 21:00	111	640 thousand	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)
1	16 Aug 2020 15:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	11.3, -97.3
2	16 Aug 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	12.2, -99.2
3	17 Aug 2020 03:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	12.4, -100.4
4	17 Aug 2020 09:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	13.3, -101.7
5	17 Aug 2020 15:00	Category 1	120	no people	no people	14.3, -103
6	17 Aug 2020 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	15.5, -104.6
7	18 Aug 2020 03:00	Category 2	157	no people	no people	16.5, -106
8	18 Aug 2020 09:00	Category 3	185	no people	<1000 people	17.4, -107.1
9	18 Aug 2020 15:00	Category 4	213	no people	<1000 people	18, -108
10	18 Aug 2020 21:00	Category 4	213	no people	<1000 people	18.7, -108.7
11	19 Aug 2020 03:00	Category 3	194	no people	<1000 people	19.5, -109
12	19 Aug 2020 09:00	Category 3	185	no people	200000 people	20.2, -109.4
13	19 Aug 2020 15:00	Category 3	185	no people	310000 people	20.9, -109.7
14	19 Aug 2020 21:00	Category 1	148	no people	300000 people	21.4, -110.1
15	20 Aug 2020 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	570000 people	22, -110.1
16	20 Aug 2020 09:00	Category 1	130	no people	620000 people	22.5, -110.4
17	20 Aug 2020 15:00	Category 1	120	no people	620000 people	23.3, -111.4
18	20 Aug 2020 21:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	69000 people	23.9, -112.4
18	21 Aug 2020 06:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	no people	24.8, -113.7
18	21 Aug 2020 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	26.1, -115.3
18	22 Aug 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	27.4, -117.2
18	22 Aug 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	28.6, -119.3
18	23 Aug 2020 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	29.4, -120.9
18	23 Aug 2020 18:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	30.3, -122

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Mexico

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Baja California Sur	Mexico

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Villa Constitución	Baja California Sur	Mexico	City	-
La Paz	Baja California Sur	Mexico	Major city	170000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Villa Constitucion	VIB	43				0
Arroyo Capo		20				0
Leon	LAP	21	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
La Paz		26				0
Cabo San Lucas		139				0
Punta Pescadero		7				0
Los Cabos International	SJD	109	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Punta Colorada	PCO	unknown				0
Isla Socorro		100				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Puerto Madalena		Mexico
San Carlos	MXSCR	Mexico
San Juan de la Costa	MXSJC	Mexico
La Paz		Mexico
San Lucas		Mexico
Buenavista		Mexico
San Hose Del Cabo		Mexico
Socorro Island		Mexico

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Puerto Cortes, Mexico. This height is estimated for UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (20 locations). Calculation based on advisory number of 16 Aug 2020 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
		Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
		Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.2
		Quinones	Mexico	0.2
		San Carlos	Mexico	0.2
		Rancho Conejo	Mexico	0.2
		Rancho Datilari	Mexico	0.1
		Los Inocentes	Mexico	0.1
		Agua Fresca	Mexico	0.1
		Cunano	Mexico	0.1
		La Florida	Mexico	0.1
		El Tomale	Mexico	0.1
		San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
		San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
		Estero la Bocana	Mexico	0.1
		Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
		El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
		Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
		El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
		Datilito	Mexico	0.1
		La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.